The question: where will Tunkara be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Ekrem Konur · 6d ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports interest.
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Brighton), 6d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Newcastle), 6d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Villa), 6d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 23%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 2h ago
Early · 1 sourceAn early read: one lower-tier source (Ekrem Konur) so far, so the figure is small and moves little until another source agrees.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- InterestBHA6d ago
Interest: Ebrima Tunkara to Brighton
Ekrem KonurTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index - InterestNEW6d ago
Interest: Ebrima Tunkara to Newcastle United
Ekrem KonurTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index
How likely is Tunkara to join Brighton?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 8%.
Split your call across every outcome It’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- BHABrightonIndex 88%=
- AVLVillaIndex 88%=
- NEWNewcastleIndex 88%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 99%=
- STAYStays at BarcelonaIndex 6767%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
Why 8%?
The Index reckons Tunkara stays (66%). There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 66%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- BHA
Interest: Ebrima Tunkara to Brighton
Ekrem Konur · Tier 4 · Low · 6d ago · View on X ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 2h ago · latest report 6d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Brighton have enquired8→25%Brighton
- A reliable report that Brighton have gone cold8→1%Brighton
The story so far
- ▼6Model update: how the Index weighs reports was re-tuned, not news14% → 9% · 10 Nov, 17:34
Attributes after ten full games
Is Tunkara worth it?
What’s driving it?
Context, not part of the IndexThe evidence trail
1 independent source counted · earliest report we hold: 9 Nov by Ekrem Konur · latest 6d ago
3 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Ekrem Konur reports that Brighton are interested in Ebrima Tunkara.
Ekrem Konur reports that Newcastle are interested in Ebrima Tunkara.