Arsenal and Barcelona interest in Nicolò Tresoldi: will he stay?
The Index reckons Tresoldi stays put.
The question: where will Tresoldi be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Enquiry (reported, not confirmed) · Nicolò Schira · 21h ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports an enquiry. Index: Arsenal rises from 7% to 15%.
- Independent corroboration: Nicolò Schira, an enquiry (Barcelona), 21h ago · Original report ↗
- Independent corroboration: Nicolò Schira, an enquiry (Arsenal), 21h ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 30%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Phone’s ringing
- Last update
- 2h ago
- The fans say
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- Bid2h ago
Bid: Nicolò Tresoldi to #ASRoma
Nicolò SchiraTier 2 · ReliableNot counted yet - Bid rejected2h ago
Bid rejected: Nicolò Tresoldi
Nicolò SchiraTier 2 · ReliableNot counted yet
How likely is Tresoldi to join Arsenal?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 15%.
Why 15%?
The Index reckons Tresoldi stays (56%). Word is the club are refusing to sell. Arsenal and Barcelona are still in the hunt at 15% and 14%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 56%. Arsenal and Barcelona remain live alternatives at 15% and 14%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- BAR
Enquiry: Nicolò Tresoldi to Barça
Nicolò Schira · Tier 2 · Reliable · 21h ago · View on X ↗
- ARS
Enquiry: Nicolò Tresoldi to Arsenal
Nicolò Schira · Tier 2 · Reliable · 21h ago · View on X ↗
- ARS
Arsenal among several top clubs interested.
Sky Deutschland · Tier 2 · Reliable · 19d ago · Original report ↗
- BAR
Split your call across every outcomeIt’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at BruggeIndex 5555%=
- ARSArsenalIndex 1515%=
- BARBarcelonaIndex 1414%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 66%=
- MUNMan UtdIndex 55%=
- TOTSpursIndex 55%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
Does the club need him?
Context, not part of the IndexHe’d add to a strength: shooting, where they’re already 4th of 20 in their league.
- shootinghim 93 · them 4th of 20
He’d add to a strength: shooting, where they’re already 2nd of 20 in their league.
- shootinghim 93 · them 2nd of 20
He’d add to a strength: shooting, where they’re already 8th of 20 in their league.
- shootinghim 93 · them 8th of 20
His strongest areas (70th percentile and up) against where each club’s regulars rank in its league.
What’s driving it?
Context, not part of the IndexThe evidence trail
4 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 21 Oct by TEAMtalk · latest 2h ago
3 original · 2 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
- 12 Nov, 04:05·BidNot counted yet
Nicolò Schira reports that AS Roma have made a bid for Nicolò Tresoldi. Reported offer: €30m, plus €5m in add-ons.
- 12 Nov, 04:05·Bid rejectedNot counted yet
Nicolò Schira reports that Club Brugge have had a bid for Nicolò Tresoldi rejected.
- 12 Nov, 04:05·Bid
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See every take on the Live wire.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook