Arsenal linked with Evanilson
The Index reckons Evanilson stays put.
The question: where will Evanilson be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Interest (reported, not confirmed) · Ekrem Konur · 3d ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports interest.
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Arsenal), 3d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Ekrem Konur, interest (Man City), 3d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 1% to 25%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 5h ago
SWOOP opened this story automatically on 12 Nov, when credible reporting first linked Evanilson with a move. A person can void it if it comes to nothing.
Early · 1 sourceAn early read: one lower-tier source (Ekrem Konur) so far, so the figure is small and moves little until another source agrees.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- InterestARS3d ago
Interest: Evanilson to Arsenal
Ekrem KonurTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index - InterestMCI3d ago
Interest: Evanilson to Manchester City
Ekrem KonurTier 4 · LowCounted in the Index
How likely is Evanilson to join Arsenal?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 10%.
Split your call across every outcome It’s a race, so you can back more than one club.
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- ARSArsenalIndex 1010%=
- MCIMan CityIndex 1010%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 1010%=
- STAYStays at BournemouthIndex 7070%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
Why 10%?
The Index reckons Evanilson stays (71%). There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 71%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- ARS
Interest: Evanilson to Arsenal
Ekrem Konur · Tier 4 · Low · 3d ago · View on X ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 5h ago · latest report 3d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Arsenal have enquired10→27%Arsenal
- A reliable report that Arsenal have gone cold10→1%Arsenal
The story so far
The evidence trail
1 independent source counted · earliest report we hold: 12 Nov by Ekrem Konur · latest 3d ago
2 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Ekrem Konur reports that Arsenal are interested in Evanilson.
Ekrem Konur reports that Man City are interested in Evanilson.