Harry Kane expected to stay at Bayern
The Index reckons Kane stays put.
The question: where will Kane be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Renewal talks / signed (reported, not confirmed) · Ben Jacobs · 7d ago · Original report ↗
Seven independent sources now report progress on a new contract. One other outlet repeated existing reports (not counted again).
- New report: Ben Jacobs, progress on a new contract (Stays at Bayern), 7d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Ben Jacobs, progress on a new contract (Stays at Bayern), 7d ago · Original report ↗
- New report: Fabrizio Romano, progress on a new contract (Stays at Bayern), 7d ago · Original report ↗
- Where it’s at
- Being watched
- Last update
- 22m ago
- The fans say
- Nobody’s called it yet
- Model
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- Renewal talks / signedSTAY7d ago
“Renewal talks / signed: Harry Kane”
Ben JacobsTier 1 · EliteCounted in the Index - Renewal talks / signedSTAY7d ago
Renewal talks / signed: Harry Kane
Fabrizio RomanoTier 1 · EliteCounted in the Index
How likely is Kane to join Barcelona?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 1%.
Why 1%?
The Index reckons Kane stays (97%). Word is there’s talk of a new contract.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 97%.
The evidence
- BAR
Barcelona planning a move.
Fichajes · Tier 4 · Low · 14d ago · Original report ↗
What’s against it
- STAY
“Renewal talks / signed: Harry Kane”
Ben Jacobs · Tier 1 · Elite · 7d ago · Original report ↗
- STAY
Renewal talks / signed: Harry Kane
Fabrizio Romano · Tier 1 · Elite · 7d ago · View on X ↗
- STAY
“Bayern Munich can expect much more of the same from the great Harry Kane after the Englishman penned a new contract that will keep him at the Allianz Arena until 30 June 2029.”
Split your call across every outcomeFor when you think it’s going somewhere else entirely.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at BayernIndex 9797%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 22%=
- BARBarcelonaIndex 11%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
Does the club need him?
Context, not part of the IndexHe’d add to a strength: shooting, where they’re already 2nd of 20 in their league.
- shootinghim 98 · them 2nd of 20
- creatinghim 92 · them 1st of 20
- passinghim 90 · them 1st of 20
His strongest areas (70th percentile and up) against where each club’s regulars rank in its league.
What’s driving it?
Context, not part of the IndexManager: Hansi Flick · 2 years in the job
Who decides the signing. Manager pressure from rated reporting in the last 30 days.
The evidence trail
8 independent sources counted · earliest report we hold: 29 Oct by Fichajes · latest 7d ago
11 original · 0 corroborating · 1 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
- 5 Nov, 11:49·Renewal talks / signedSTAYOriginal report
Ben Jacobs reports that Harry Kane is moving towards a new contract at Bayern.
“Renewal talks / signed: Harry Kane”
- 5 Nov, 11:47·Renewal talks / signedSTAYOriginal report
Ben Jacobs reports that Harry Kane is moving towards a new contract at Bayern.
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See every take on the Live wire.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 2 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook