Barcelona linked with Jonathan Tah
The Index reckons Tah stays put.
The question: where will Tah be registered when calls close on 1 Feb, 23:00 (UK)?
A January 2027 window transfer: the window opens 1 January. Calls made now count in full: you’re scored on how well you beat the Index while you held your view, so calling months ahead is neither penalised nor padded.
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Latest credible report: Enquiry (reported, not confirmed) · Florian Plettenberg · 2d ago · Original report ↗
One independent source now reports an enquiry.
- New report: Florian Plettenberg, an enquiry (Barcelona), 2d ago · Original report ↗
Could be anywhere from 9% to 39%. Not much to go on yet.
- Where it’s at
- Phone’s ringing
- Last update
- 22m ago
- The fans say
SWOOP opened this story automatically on 9 Nov, when credible reporting first linked Jonathan Tah with a move. A person can void it if it comes to nothing.
Latest
Every report, in order ↓- EnquiryBAR2d ago
Enquiry: Jonathan Tah to FC Barcelona
Florian PlettenbergTier 1 · EliteCounted in the Index
How likely is Tah to join Barcelona?
Drag to make your call. The Index says 24%.
Why 24%?
The Index reckons Tah stays (67%). Barcelona are still in the hunt at 24%. There’s not much to go on yet, so treat it as a ballpark.
The Index’s official wording, as recorded
The Index makes staying the most likely outcome at 67%. Barcelona remain a live alternative at 24%. Evidence is thin, so treat this as a range rather than a firm number.
The evidence
- BAR
Enquiry: Jonathan Tah to FC Barcelona
Florian Plettenberg · Tier 1 · Elite · 2d ago · View on X ↗
What’s against it
Nothing reliable is pulling the other way.
The situation this week
This saga is less than a week old.
Number last recalculated 22m ago · latest report 2d ago
What to watch
The model re-run with one extra report from a top-tier source. Hypothetical, not a prediction.
- A reliable report that Barcelona have opened talks24→60%Barcelona
- A reliable report that Barcelona have gone cold24→3%Barcelona
Split your call across every outcomeFor when you think it’s going somewhere else entirely.
What’s your call?
You score by beating the Index at the time you call. The more uncertain it was, and the longer you held your view (up to a week), the more it counts.
- STAYStays at BayernIndex 6767%=
- BARBarcelonaIndex 2424%=
- OTHAnother clubIndex 99%=
No point gaming it: the scoring rewards what you honestly believe. Calling it early earns more than jumping on late.
The story so far
Model update, 10 Nov: figures since then use SWOOP-engine-1.7 (before: SWOOP-engine-1.6). It changed how much a club starts with before strong reporting, not the evidence, so any step on that day is the model, not news. What changed
Does the club need him?
Context, not part of the IndexHe’d add to a strength: defending, where they’re already 2nd of 20 in their league.
- defendinghim 89 · them 2nd of 20
- physicalhim 71 · them 2nd of 20
His strongest areas (70th percentile and up) against where each club’s regulars rank in its league.
What’s driving it?
Context, not part of the IndexManager: Hansi Flick · 2 years in the job
Who decides the signing. Manager pressure from rated reporting in the last 30 days.
The evidence trail
1 independent source counted · earliest report we hold: 9 Nov by Florian Plettenberg · latest 2d ago
1 original · 0 corroborating · 0 repeats (counted once) · 0 pointing the other way. Earlier reports may exist that we don’t hold.
Florian Plettenberg reports that Barcelona have enquired about Jonathan Tah.
Every source, weighed
- BARFlorian PlettenbergT1Enquiry · 2d ago
What they’re saying
No pundit has weighed in on this one yet. Their takes appear here as they post about it. See every take on the Live wire.
The small print
- Status
- Open for calls
- Scoring window
- 9 Nov → 1 Feb, 23:00
- Rule applied
- R2/R3 — locks at official announcement or deadline
- Evidence
- Pending
Only official club or league confirmation resolves a move. “Done deal” reports never lock a situation. Full rulebook